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Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+105/-135).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic lands in the 98th percentile for shots from the field sunk playing at home, compiling a whopping 9.6 per game this year.Nikola Jokic has averaged 34.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.Nikola Jokic has successfully made 94.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 13.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year playing at home.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.When facing fellow starting Cs, Kelly Olynyk has been in the 21st percentile with only 1.4 treys attempted against him per game this year.The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.As a team, the Nuggets have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 3rd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.2 foul shots per game.
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