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Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-145/+106).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Nikola Jokic has attempted 4.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season.Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic places in the 92nd percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.1 minutes per game this year.As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home measures as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for scoring; opposing squads have put up the lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 25 games (44.3%).The matchup against Kristaps Porzingis is a strong one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 6.0 shots made from the field per game (100th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).This year, opposing clubs have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).
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