Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 3:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 65.4% of his field goals over the last 10 games on the road, 6.7% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season without the home court advantage.
Nikola Jokic has successfully made 63.5% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games on the road, 16.4% more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season on the road.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The number of 3-point shots converted against Deandre Ayton has been quite high (0.9 per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The 10th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
In regard to offense, the Nuggets's poor 99.8 points per game when playing on the road rates lowest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a decline in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
The faceoff with Deandre Ayton when it comes to getting to the foul line rates in the 13th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.3 foul shots per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
Nikola Jokic will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers stat production for all stats.