Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 3:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 66.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home.
Nikola Jokic has converted 62.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (12.2 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
The faceoff with Brook Lopez in terms of drawing fouls rates in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year.