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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -137.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 66.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home.
  • Nikola Jokic has converted 62.6% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 15.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been remarkably high (12.2 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.5 fouls per game on the road this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
  • The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
  • Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
  • The faceoff with Brook Lopez in terms of drawing fouls rates in the 10th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year.

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