Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has registered 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 5.7 more than he's registered over the course of the season on the road.
Nikola Jokic has made 56.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 11.9% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have shot 52.8% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a good matchup.
The number of threes attempted against Domantas Sabonis has been remarkably low (1.0 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for drawing fouls; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game (4th percentile).

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