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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has registered 32.6 points per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 5.8 higher than he's registered overall this year on the road.

Nikola Jokic has converted 68.9% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 9.0% more than he's sunk in all games this season away from his home court.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The rate of three-point shots converted against Anthony Davis has been remarkably high (41.9%) when guarding other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.

The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Anthony Davis has been quite low this year (2.5 foul shots per game: 3rd percentile).

Nikola Jokic stands to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game on account of playing on the visting team in this game.

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