Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 5, 2024 3:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 69.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 8.2% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Nikola Jokic has made 40.9% of his 3-point shots with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.8 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for three-point shots; the other team has put up the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (33.8%).
The number of points registered against Deandre Ayton has been quite high (18.5 per game) when he is on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).
In regard to getting to the charity stripe, the Nuggets's poor 20.9 free throw attempts per game ranks 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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