Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 2:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has logged 31.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's logged overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has made 70.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 9.8% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year.
The matchup with Deandre Ayton registers in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a colossal 17.5 points per game this year when they are at home.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while at home this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have grabbed 11.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
As it relates to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's feeble 21.0 free throw attempts per game measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA this year.

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