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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has posted 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's posted over the course of the year.
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 74.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 13.4% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
  • The number of shot attempts from the field against Brook Lopez has been very high (12.0 per game) when guarding other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
  • The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
  • The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • With respect to getting to the charity stripe, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 21.0 foul shots per game comes in as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
  • The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been very low this year (2.5 foul shot attempts per game: 7th percentile).

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