Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 2:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 13.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Nikola Jokic has made 52.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 9.3% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year.
The rate of treys drained against Jericho Sims has been remarkably high (47.7%) when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Nuggets check in as the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league while playing on the road this year.
The least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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