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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/12/2024

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has made 82.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 19.8% more than he's converted over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Nikola Jokic has sunk 62.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 19.6% more than he's converted from three overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.

In regard to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's remarkable 120.5 points per game at home rates 9th-highest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a strong one for scoring; when Valanciunas is playing on the road fellow starting Cs this year, they have sunk a whopping 66.2% of their shots from the field (100th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 82nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.

The Pelicans have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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