Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 2:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 85.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 25.9% more than he's made in all games this season.
Nikola Jokic has sunk 75.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 33.9% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The faceoff with Jalen Duren places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs burying an enormous 1.3 treys per game this year when they are playing at home.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.
In terms of getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's feeble 20.4 free throw attempts per game ranks 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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