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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 75.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 32.6% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 19.7% more than he's made in all games this season on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game at home this year.

The matchup with Moritz Wagner lands in the 10th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs converting only 0.3 three-point shots per game this year.

The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Denver Nuggets's feeble 20.5 foul shots per game comes in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.

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