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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 73.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 15.0% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.

The matchup against the Golden State Warriors is a difficult one for field goals; their opposition has compiled the 10th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA over the last 20 games (47.0%).

The number of points scored against Kevon Looney has been remarkably high (15.9 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).

As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's poor 110.6 points per game away from home rates 9th-lowest in the NBA this year.

The slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).

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