Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 60.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 19.5% more than he's made overall this year.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The matchup against Nick Richards is a positive one; he has given up a colossal 16.5 points per game when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.3% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (preserving possessions that can bring about more chances for offense).
As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 3rd-worst in the league this year, averaging just 20.3 foul shot attempts per game.

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