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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 52.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 13.6% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.6 minutes per game this year.

This year, opposing teams have averaged 44.7% on field goals (lowest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a challenging matchup.

The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

When it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

The clash with Chet Holmgren lands in the 10th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs draining just 0.3 shots from downtown per game this year.

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

This year, the other team has secured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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