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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/28/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has attempted 9.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk a mere 55.0% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant dropoff from his 62.7 mark last season.

The number of threes attempted against Bismack Biyombo has been very low (0.9 per game) when away from his home court and guarding other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

With respect to drawing fouls, the Nuggets's subpar 20.7 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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