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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has converted 10.3 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup against Kevon Looney is a strong one; he has allowed a whopping 16.1 points per game when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
  • The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (6th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (turning over possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.6 fouls per game while on his home court this year.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.
  • As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at drawing fouls: 4th-worst in the league this year, averaging a lowly 20.3 free throw attempts per game.

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