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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • This year when they are away from home, the other team has totaled 33.7 3-point attempts per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a hard matchup.
  • The faceoff with Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 93rd percentile with the other side's starting Cs hitting an enormous 43.7% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are on the visiting team.
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • Nikola Jokic has made 89.1% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.8% more than he's sunk overall this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has converted a mere 55.1% of his shots from the field this year, significantly less than his 62.7 rate last year.
  • Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Nuggets check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the visting team this year.
  • The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).

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