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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/14/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted a whopping 12.2 field goals per game this season, significantly more than his 9.7 rate last season.

Nikola Jokic has made 50.9% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 12.6% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic lands in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.1 minutes per game while at home this year.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic has attempted 7.2 free throws per game this year, significantly higher than his 6.8 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Nets are on their home court, the opposing team's starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.8).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home court this year.

The Nuggets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Brooklyn Nets).

When playing at home, the Nets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Nuggets have been bad at getting to the charity stripe as the home team: 5th-worst in the NBA this year with just 20.6 foul shot attempts per game.

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