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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 12/12/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 86th percentile for shooting effectiveness while playing at home with a a remarkable 54.4% rate this year.
  • Nikola Jokic has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.
  • This year when they are at home, opposing starting Cs have totaled 3.1 three attempts per game (30th-most in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, marking this as a strong matchup.
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
  • The matchup against the Bulls is a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting Cs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game this year (26th-most in the league).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Compared to last year's 25.8 clip, Nikola Jokic's points per game have declined this year to 25.9.
  • The 5th-slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most lethargic pace road team in the league this year (the Chicago Bulls).
  • The Chicago Bulls have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic has attempted just 5.5 free throws per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 5.6 rate last year.

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