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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 6/7/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has scored 31.8 points per game over the last 15 games, 6.1 more than he's scored over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has made 1.9 3-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's made from three overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 40.1 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.9 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.

The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting Cs this year (12.1).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while on the road.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which should decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Heat is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a measly 2.5 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the league).

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