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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 11.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have been the most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Suns may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a whopping 5.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (30th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (87th percentile).

The matchup vs. the Suns is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting Cs have compiled the 13th-lowest FG% in the NBA this year (54.5%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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