Nikola Jokic Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.3 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic has sunk 4.4 free throws per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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