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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/21/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 9.3 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.
  • Nikola Jokic has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 90th percentile.
  • The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
  • The Denver Nuggets rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Nikola Jokic has sunk 4.4 free throws per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (86th percentile).
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Nuggets.
  • The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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