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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 10.9 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Nikola Jokic has made 49.7% of his treys over the last 15 games on the road, 12.4% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this season away from his home court.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Rockets may be a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (27th-most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (85th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Houston is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Rockets are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have put up the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (51.3%).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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