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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has scored 34.4 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.1 more than he's scored in all games this season.

Nikola Jokic has successfully made 57.7% of his field goal attempts without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Pistons have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a challenging one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 11th-least FG attempts per game in the league this year (8.8).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

With the home court advantage, the Pistons have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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