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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 4/9/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-196/+152).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -196.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has sunk 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

Nikola Jokic has tallied 36.8 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).

In regard to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a hard one for three-point shots; when Sabonis is at home and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a mere 24.6% of their attempts from beyond the arc (17th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Nikola Jokic will likely suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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