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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-265/+188).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -240 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -265.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has converted 56.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 10.6% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year when playing away from home.

Nikola Jokic has played 33.6 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

The number of 3-point shots sunk against Anthony Davis has been quite high (0.8 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (97th percentile).

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the league as the road team this year with respect to 3-point attempts.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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