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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/28/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -225.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 34.1 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in possessions today from squaring off against the 10th-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Kings have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic ought to get a boost in production in all facets of the game considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has failed to convert 3.0 three-point attempts per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's failed to convert from 3-point range in all games this year.

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games in regard to three-point attempts.

The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 1.2 three-point shots per game (3rd percentile).

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

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