Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2024

Updated Jan 5, 2024 3:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-154/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has made 65.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games on the road, 27.4% more than he's made in all games this season when playing away from home.
Nikola Jokic has played 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The matchup against Kevon Looney is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when Looney is at home and defending other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 2.0 three-point shots per game (76th percentile).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 12thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA as the visting team this year has been the Nuggets.
The slowest pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, opposing squads have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors (retaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).