Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 3:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 88th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 33.7 minutes per game this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.6) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increase player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The number of threes attempted against Bismack Biyombo has been very low (0.9 per game) when away from his home court and guarding other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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