Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 3:25 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 32.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
This year when they are away from home, the other team has totaled 33.7 3-point attempts per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Toronto Raptors, making this a hard matchup.
The faceoff with Jakob Poeltl comes in at the 93rd percentile with the other side's starting Cs hitting an enormous 43.7% of their attempts from downtown this year when they are on the visiting team.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
When it comes to 3-pointers, the Nuggets's lackluster 10.9 made threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 4th-weakest in the league this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Raptors).
The Raptors have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).