Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 12.8% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (3.6).
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic registers in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year.
As it relates to 3-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The 3rd-slowest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have come down with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can spark bonus chances for offense).

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