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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 42.9% mark, Nikola Jokic's 3-point prowess has jumped this year to 43.9%.

In contrast to last year's 2.5 clip, Nikola Jokic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 4.3 per game.

Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7thbest in in the league with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

With the home court advantage, the Houston Rockets have given up the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.2) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (76th percentile).

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league while playing at home this year has been the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one for threes; when the Houston Rockets are playing at home, opposing starting Cs have tallied the 14th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (0.1).

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA as the visting team this year.

The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Denver Nuggets.

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