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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+190/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -240.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.0 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
  • The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions in this game from facing the 7th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).
  • The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • This year when they are on their home court, the other team has captured 9.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Kings (shortening possessions that could otherwise spark added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Nikola Jokic has converted a measly 27.8% of his three-point attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 37.4 mark last year.
  • Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season at home.
  • In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Nuggets's lackluster 10.8 converted threes per game rates 6th-worst in the NBA this year.
  • This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have shot 39.1% on three-pointers (3rd-best in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, making this a favorable matchup.
  • The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing starting Cs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (0.7).

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