Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 8:58 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 2.5 rate, Nikola Jokic's shot attempts from downtown have spiked this year to 4.6 per game.
The Nuggets will likely get a boost in opportunities today from competing against the 6th-quickest pace visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Magic).
When playing on the road, the Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (6.7) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.3 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 10th-least aggressive team in the NBA on their home court this year has been the Nuggets.
This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 0.1 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, marking this as a difficult matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from home this year.
Nikola Jokic will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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