Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 14, 2023

Updated Mar 14, 2023 10:26 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 32.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting Cs have put up the 24th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (35.8%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Playing at home, the Raptors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this year.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lowers player performance across the board.

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