Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2022

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 28, 2022

Updated Dec 28, 2022 9:40 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has converted 66.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games, 29.0% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Kings have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to the other team this year (which can also produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled over this stretch.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Kings is a hard one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
The matchup against Domantas Sabonis is a challenging one for three-pointers; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have averaged just 0.3 three-pointers per game (97th percentile).
Nikola Jokic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens stat production across the board.

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