Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 28, 2024 2:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.4 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 35.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the league while at home with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Nikola Jokic stands to see a spike in productivity across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.

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