Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.0 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 34.4 minutes per game away from home this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the NBA while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
Nikola Jokic figures to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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