Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 9.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 99th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 91st percentile.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has come down with 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 84th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Nikola Jokic will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.

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