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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 2/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has tallied 10.8 assists per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic slots into the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.8 minutes per game this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 5thbest in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Nikola Jokic should get a boost in efficiency across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.6 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

Over the last 25 games when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has secured 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

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