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Nikola Jokic

Nikola Jokic Assists
Player Prop - 2/2/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Jokic has averaged 11.6 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should boost plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Nikola Jokic figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while at home this year.

The 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

Over the last 25 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have grabbed 11.4 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (lengthening possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).

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