Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Jan 31, 2024 7:29 PM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 33.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 14thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has put up just 9.0 assists per game this year, quite a bit less than his 9.8 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 86th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The least up-tempo pace road offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 7th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).
This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.7 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (preserving possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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