Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 2:13 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 10.8 assists per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's posted over the course of the season at home.
Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic comes in at the 90th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the fastest pace team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 6thbest in in the league with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Nikola Jokic will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year at home.
The most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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