Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has posted 9.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.6 minutes per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have secured 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks (losing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
Nikola Jokic will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to reduce player performance in all facets of the game.

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