Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 12:53 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has put up 9.1 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year, the other team has collected 10.0 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

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