Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-155/+115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has averaged 9.1 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic places in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
The Orlando Magic have allowed the 3rd-least offensive boards per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.4 fouls per game at home this year.
The Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).

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