Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 2, 2024 1:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has tallied 9.3 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league leaders by this standard over this stretch of games: 99th percentile.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Nuggets rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.4 fouls per game while playing at home this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have come down with 12.0 offensive boards per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Charlotte Hornets (preserving possessions that can bring about more chances for offense).

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