Nikola Jokic Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Nikola Jokic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Jokic

C · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 2:19 AM UTC

Analysis

Nikola Jokic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Jokic has totaled 9.5 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the league by this metric recently: 99th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Nikola Jokic registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.6 minutes per game this year.
The Thunder have played at the 6th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Jokic ought to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories considering enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Nikola Jokic has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
This year, the other team has secured 13.1 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (retaining possessions that can produce added opportunities for offense).

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